On November 1, 2023, the Federal Reserve (Fed) made the decision to maintain its interest rates, marking the second consecutive meeting where rates have been held steady. This decision comes amidst considerations on whether the current financial conditions are sufficiently tight to manage inflation, or if further restraint is needed given the robust economic performance.
Following the Fed’s announcement, the market reacted with gold prices inching higher on November 2. Spot gold rose by 0.2% to $1,985.99 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures experienced a slight uptick of 0.3% to $1,993.80. This increase in gold prices is attributed to the slip in the U.S. dollar and bond yields, which occurred in the wake of the Fed’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged.
Meanwhile, the stock market exhibited a different reaction. Stocks took a dip shortly after the Fed’s statement was released. However, the U.S. dollar found support from a rise in short-term Treasury yields, particularly the 2-year yields which ascended above 5.10%.
The Fed’s steady stance on interest rates is seen as a response to the tighter financial conditions faced by both businesses and households. Yet, there’s a hint from the Fed that another rate hike could be on the horizon before the year concludes, as part of an effort to keep the economy on a balanced keel.
In conclusion, the Fed’s choice to hold interest rates has elicited a variety of market reactions, manifesting in the strengthening of gold prices, a dip in stocks, and a subtle retreat in the dollar and yields.